Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.000599 0.000641 0.000684 0.000732 0.000784 0.000837 0.000898
2025-11-16 0.000531 0.000589 0.000651 0.000723 0.000804 0.000892 0.000994
2025-11-23 0.000486 0.000555 0.000633 0.000724 0.000830 0.000950 0.001094
2025-11-30 0.000448 0.000526 0.000614 0.000721 0.000849 0.000998 0.001183
2025-12-07 0.000418 0.000502 0.000598 0.000720 0.000868 0.001043 0.001269
2025-12-14 0.000389 0.000476 0.000579 0.000710 0.000875 0.001074 0.001336
2025-12-21 0.000365 0.000454 0.000561 0.000702 0.000881 0.001103 0.001401
2025-12-28 0.000336 0.000424 0.000533 0.000677 0.000865 0.001102 0.001427
2026-01-04 0.000314 0.000403 0.000514 0.000664 0.000861 0.001116 0.001470
2026-01-11 0.000300 0.000391 0.000505 0.000662 0.000874 0.001149 0.001541
2026-01-18 0.000289 0.000381 0.000499 0.000664 0.000888 0.001187 0.001617
2026-01-25 0.000275 0.000366 0.000486 0.000655 0.000889 0.001204 0.001667
2026-02-01 0.000257 0.000347 0.000467 0.000638 0.000879 0.001210 0.001704
2026-02-08 0.000244 0.000334 0.000455 0.000631 0.000883 0.001234 0.001768
2026-02-15 0.000234 0.000325 0.000449 0.000632 0.000898 0.001274 0.001857
2026-02-22 0.000225 0.000316 0.000442 0.000630 0.000907 0.001307 0.001936
2026-03-01 0.000216 0.000307 0.000435 0.000628 0.000918 0.001342 0.002020
2026-03-08 0.000206 0.000296 0.000424 0.000620 0.000918 0.001361 0.002079
2026-03-15 0.000197 0.000286 0.000414 0.000613 0.000919 0.001380 0.002139
2026-03-22 0.000184 0.000271 0.000396 0.000592 0.000898 0.001364 0.002144
2026-03-29 0.000175 0.000260 0.000383 0.000580 0.000890 0.001368 0.002180
2026-04-05 0.000170 0.000254 0.000379 0.000579 0.000899 0.001400 0.002261
2026-04-12 0.000165 0.000249 0.000375 0.000580 0.000911 0.001436 0.002351